Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.011906 0.014477 0.017709 0.022167 0.028318 0.036763 4.973688e-02
2025-02-23 0.008685 0.011514 0.015554 0.022056 0.032940 0.051974 9.240846e-02
2025-03-02 0.006840 0.009529 0.013669 0.021013 0.035043 0.064519 1.479176e-01
2025-03-09 0.005767 0.008337 0.012530 0.020564 0.037729 0.080439 2.444712e-01
2025-03-16 0.005140 0.007679 0.012044 0.021042 0.042525 0.106711 4.715386e-01
2025-03-23 0.004608 0.007064 0.011466 0.021103 0.046438 0.136393 9.415174e-01
2025-03-30 0.004077 0.006360 0.010568 0.020178 0.047272 0.157399 1.689005e+00
2025-04-06 0.003691 0.005855 0.009953 0.019708 0.049244 0.188345 3.766266e+00
2025-04-13 0.003463 0.005602 0.009788 0.020267 0.055002 0.255475 1.906396e+01
2025-04-20 0.003341 0.005528 0.009973 0.021790 0.065668 0.402845 1.008508e+06
2025-04-27 0.003188 0.005372 0.009948 0.022749 0.075282 0.614761 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002989 0.005097 0.009612 0.022694 0.080444 0.833934 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002787 0.004824 0.009296 0.022831 0.088411 1.303353 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002591 0.004543 0.008925 0.022716 0.095661 2.094851 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002374 0.004192 0.008327 0.021630 0.095733 2.752192 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002212 0.003941 0.007937 0.021163 0.100009 4.358132 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002109 0.003806 0.007818 0.021660 0.113132 11.198973 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002000 0.003645 0.007604 0.021724 0.123422 33.081999 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001864 0.003413 0.007168 0.020761 0.122609 62.054131 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001758 0.003238 0.006867 0.020273 0.126535 238.794228 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001697 0.003160 0.006818 0.020854 0.144767 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.001670 0.003156 0.006976 0.022439 0.183216 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.001626 0.003108 0.006999 0.023437 0.219858 NaN NaN